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SLVONUSD long — 18 Sep 2026 (stopped out)

This long on SLVONUSD entered at 60.7547 and stopped out at 59.85 after 17.4 hours, closing at -1.49%.

AssetSLVONUSD
Directionlong
Issued (UTC)2026-09-18 07:42
Entry60.7547
Stop-loss59.85
Take-profit 161.4119
Take-profit 2 (stretch)61.85
Reward:risk at entry1.21
Outcomestopped out
Close price59.85
Realized P&L-1.49%
Time open17.4 hours

What the model saw at issue time

AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.

1. REGIME READ: mtf_alignment tagged mixed but 5m/15m/1h all bull_aligned (4/4 alignment score), 1h ADX 42.7 slope +5.05 (strong, strengthening), ER_10 0.89 clean, choppiness 31.8 (trending), Hurst 0.53, HMM calm conf 1.0 — a calm but genuinely strong short-term bull thrust, only 4h EMA still mixed. 2. LEAN CHECK: clearly bull-leaning — price at 5d high (+0.00% from 5d high), net_move_4h +1.30% / 12h +2.55% / 24h +4.01%, silver spot XAG +3.99% 24h corroborates, and the winning prior signals on this asset all faded to long into overbought thrusts. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned long — the strongest cluster is HTF trend (bull EMA stack across 5m/15m/1h + ADX 42.7 rising), backed by fresh silver-spot momentum and cross-asset gold correlation (XAUT +0.83, PAXG +0.81) all pushing up; this is a coherent multi-TF uptrend at new highs. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI overbought (15m 80.3, 1h 76.6) + OI falling (-5.5% 24h, oi_notional -5.5%) + taker ratio 0.90 (sellers slightly ahead last hour) = a mean-reversion pullback off the 5d high would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 60.7547; stop below the recent breakout shelf / 15m structure at 59.85 (≈1.49% risk, within silver's ~2.6% 7d range); stretch TP at 61.85 (≈1.81% reward, R:R ≈1.21, inside 4% clamp) targeting continuation past the new high. 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend but overbought + OI bleed caps follow-through — p_tp1 46 / p_sl 34 / p_expire 20.

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