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SLVONUSD long — 21 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on SLVONUSD entered at 60.614 and stopped out at 59.85 after 4.3 hours, closing at -1.26%.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-21 01:25 |
| Entry | 60.614 |
| Stop-loss | 59.85 |
| Take-profit 1 | 61.1756 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 61.55 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.23 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 59.85 |
| Realized P&L | -1.26% |
| Time open | 4.3 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF tagged mixed but 5m/1h bull_aligned (15m/4h mixed), 1h ADX 26 slope -2.06 (genuine trend, mildly fading), ER_10 0.41 / ER_30 0.14, choppiness 34.7 (trending zone), Hurst 0.46, HMM calm conf 1.0 — a calm, mildly bullish trend cooling slightly. 2. LEAN CHECK: bull-leaning — price near 5d/20d/90d high (-0.59%), net_move_4h +1.19%, taker_1h 1.14, OI accelerating_up (oi_15m_z +1.64), top-trader pos ratio 2.30 long-heavy. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: fresh push to multi-period highs with OI accelerating up and top traders positioned long — trend-aligned continuation toward the high; silver spot XAG +0.56% 24h and SLV ETF +1.63% recent corroborate macro tailwind. 4. PRE-MORTEM: price sits at 20d/90d high with 1h RSI 68 and rolling z +1.57 — a rejection at the high (failure to break -0.59%) flips this to mean-reversion. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop below the recent consolidation/short-term structure at 59.85 (~1.26% risk, in line with rv_24h and avg 24h range ~2.5%); stretch TP at 61.55 above the 5d high (~1.55% reward, R:R ~1.23, within clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: near a stiff high so meaningful chop/rejection risk, but momentum + flow favor breakout.
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