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SLVONUSD long — 22 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on SLVONUSD entered at 60.66 and stopped out at 59.72 after 12.7 hours, closing at -1.55%.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-22 18:23 |
| Entry | 60.66 |
| Stop-loss | 59.72 |
| Take-profit 1 | 61.374 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 61.85 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.27 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 59.72 |
| Realized P&L | -1.55% |
| Time open | 12.7 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed (2/4), 1h ADX 20.7 slope -1.9 (fading), ER_10 0.72 but ER_30 0.02 (fresh short-thrust, noisy longer path), choppiness 41.6, Hurst 0.41 (mean-reverting), HMM calm conf 1.0 — a calm low-vol tape with a fresh bullish 4h thrust that is stretched. 2. LEAN CHECK: modestly bull-leaning near-term — net_move_4h +1.80%, net_move_12h +2.45%, taker_1h 1.43 (buyers), OI accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +1.33), top-trader pos ratio 2.46 long — momentum and flow both point up. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow/OI — accelerating OI with a fresh buy-side taker push and top traders net long, aligned with the up net-move; bull-aligned 5m EMA stack backs the short-frame lean. 4. PRE-MORTEM: price is at 5d/20d/90d high (-0.51%), RSI 73 overbought on 5m/15m, rolling z +1.32, Fear&Greed 78 extreme greed — a rejection at this high flips it fast; that's the invalidation. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 60.66; stop below the recent breakout structure at 59.72 (~1.55% risk, roughly 1.3x avg_daily_range and within RV); stretch target at 61.85 (~1.96% reward, R:R ~1.27, inside 1.5x/4% clamps) toward a modest continuation above the local high. 6. EXPECTATION: overbought at highs into greed tempers upside odds; p_tp1 42, p_sl 38, p_expire 20.
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