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SLVONUSD long — 10 Oct 2026 (expired)
This long on SLVONUSD entered at 55.15 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 55.11 with a price move of -0.07%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-10 13:50 |
| Entry | 55.15 |
| Stop-loss | 54.63 |
| Take-profit 1 | 55.528 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 55.78 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.21 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 55.11 |
| Realized P&L | -0.07% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 0/4 (5m bear, 15m bull, 1h mixed, 4h bear), 1h ADX 43.3 but slope -0.58 (elevated yet fading), choppiness 70.7 (clearly range-bound), ER_10 0.28 / ER_30 0.12 (very noisy, nets nowhere), Hurst 0.46 (mild mean-reversion), HMM calm conf 1.0 — low-vol, choppy, directionless tape with no clean trend. 2. LEAN CHECK: taker ratio 2.39 last hour (strong buy pressure) and the most recent buckets lean buy, net_move_pct_4h flat / 24h only -0.40%, price sits just +0.38 z above mean and -1.4% off the 5d high — a modest intraday buy-side tilt against an otherwise flat tape; lean long. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: the strongest cluster is flow — taker_buy_sell_ratio_1h 2.39 with recent hourly buckets tilting buy, plus funding slightly positive and silver spot broadly flat-to-firm (silver ETF +2.49% 1d); not trend-aligned (no clean trend exists) but a near-term demand tilt in a mean-reverting band. 4. PRE-MORTEM: OI falling (-4.3% 24h, oi z -0.88, decelerating) means the buy pressure isn't backed by fresh positioning — a fade back to the mean below 54.9 invalidates. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop_loss 54.63 beneath the recent intraday base / 5d-low region (~0.94% risk, ~0.6x the 24h traversal of 1.10%); take_profit_1 55.78 toward the 5d-high (~1.14% / ~1.2x the stop distance, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: choppy mean-reverting tape with thin edge — modest p_tp1, meaningful p_expire given 1.1% typical 24h traversal.
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