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SLVONUSD long — 5 Nov 2026 (stopped out)
This long on SLVONUSD entered at 48.1724 and stopped out at 47.35 after 11.8 hours, closing at -1.71%.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-11-05 02:53 |
| Entry | 48.1724 |
| Stop-loss | 47.35 |
| Take-profit 1 | 48.849 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 49.3 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.37 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 47.35 |
| Realized P&L | -1.71% |
| Time open | 11.8 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 2/4 (5m/15m bull, 1h mixed with RSI 78.6 overbought, 4h bear), 1h ADX 42.9 slope +5.1 (strong and strengthening), choppiness 41.5 (transitional edge), ER_10 0.70 / ER_30 0.56 (clean recent one-way path), Hurst 0.57, HMM calm conf 1.0 — a low-vol tokenized-silver structure riding a sharp fresh up-impulse, sitting exactly at its 5d/20d high. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear long lean — this is the recurring SLVON winning setup: fresh impulse + strengthening 1h ADX + silver spot confirming (+7.78% XAG). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is the fresh breakout/momentum — net_24h +7.79%, net_4h +1.56% still positive, at 5d_high (+0.00), 1h ADX 42.9 rising, ER_10 0.70 clean, with silver spot XAG also +7.78% and SLV ETF +5.17% confirming the physical-silver macro tailwind; trend-aligned on short TFs. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI 78.6 overbought on 1h + OI falling (-2.5% 24h, accelerating_down, oi_z -1.45) means this impulse is running on thinning positioning — a mean-reversion pullback from the vertical high would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 48.17; stop below the recent impulse base / invalidation at 47.35 (~1.7% stop, within ~0.6-0.7x the rv/avg-range for this elevated-vol day); stretch TP at 49.30, a clean push-extension above the breakout (~2.3% / ~1.38x stop, inside clamps and reachable given avg_24h traversal 2.35% and today's 7.8% range). 6. EXPECTATION: momentum favors continuation but overbought + falling OI caps odds; p_tp1 46, p_sl 36, p_expire 18.
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