SLVONUSD short — 3 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SLVONUSD entered at 51.52 and stopped out at 52.55 after 4.6 hours, closing at -2.00%.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-03 13:30 |
| Entry | 51.52 |
| Stop-loss | 52.55 |
| Take-profit 1 | 50.593 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 49.975 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.50 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 52.55 |
| Realized P&L | -2.00% |
| Time open | 4.6 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: EMA stacks bear-aligned on 5m/15m/4h with 1h mixed, ADX 1h 32.9 rising (+3.3), choppiness 43 (trending zone), Hurst 0.42 (mild mean-reversion), regime transitional but momentum is down — a fresh, strengthening bear leg. 2. LEAN CHECK: net moves -2.57% 4h, -2.54% 12h, -3.14% 24h all negative, silver spot XAG -3.14% confirming, DXY soft but gold up — the clear lean is SHORT with trend. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — three of four TFs bear-aligned, ADX rising into a genuine trend, taker/OI shows crowded longs (top_trader_pos_ratio 2.44, funding_z +1.2, OI +13.6% into a falling price = trapped longs) which fuels continuation lower. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI is deeply oversold across all TFs (5m 17, 15m 16, 1h 22.5) and z-score -2.19 at the 5d/20d/90d low — a mean-reversion bounce is the main risk; a reclaim above the recent breakdown pivot invalidates. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 51.52; stop above intraday reclaim near 52.55 (beyond the oversold-bounce zone); TP1 stretch at 49.85, roughly 1.6x the ~1.03 stop distance, a reachable level given avg 24h traversal 1.36% but momentum is running hot (rv pctile 84%). 6. EXPECTATION: oversold conditions temper conviction; p_tp1 42, p_sl 38, p_expire 20.
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