SLVONUSD short — 6 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SLVONUSD entered at 55.448 and stopped out at 56.28 after 9.2 hours, closing at -1.50%.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-06 16:27 |
| Entry | 55.448 |
| Stop-loss | 56.28 |
| Take-profit 1 | 54.8312 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 54.42 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.24 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 56.28 |
| Realized P&L | -1.50% |
| Time open | 9.2 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 4h/1h EMA stacks bull_aligned but 5m bear/15m mixed (alignment 0/4); 1h ADX 32.8 with negative slope (-1.77, fading); choppiness 54.5 (mid/choppy); ER_10 0.26 / ER_30 0.03 (path nets nowhere); Hurst 0.44 (mean-reverting); HMM calm — a decelerating uptrend rolling over into chop. 2. LEAN CHECK: near-term momentum is clearly down (net -0.29% 4h, -1.72% 12h, -1.56% 24h), XAG spot -1.59% confirming, latest taker ratio 0.73 (sell pressure), rolling z +1.48 (stretched above 20d mean and reverting) — evidence tilts short. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: momentum + mean-reversion cluster — price is extended (+1.48 z) and rolling over with the silver spot leg leading down and sellers dominating the last hour; a mean-reverting Hurst plus fading ADX favors continuation of the pullback. 4. PRE-MORTEM: the 4h/1h EMA stacks remain bull_aligned and top-trader position ratio is long-skewed (1.58); a reclaim of ~56.1 with silver spot bouncing would flip this back up. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop_loss 56.28 just above the recent intraday pivot / z-extension (~1.5% above mark, within rv range); take_profit_1 54.42 targeting a retest toward the recent lows region (~1.86% down, R:R ~1.24). 6. EXPECTATION: choppy fading tape with a real short lean but two-sided EMA structure.
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