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SLVONUSD short — 14 Aug 2026 (stopped out)

This short on SLVONUSD entered at 57.9333 and stopped out at 58.78 after 8.3 hours, closing at -1.46%.

AssetSLVONUSD
Directionshort
Issued (UTC)2026-08-14 01:09
Entry57.9333
Stop-loss58.78
Take-profit 157.2053
Take-profit 2 (stretch)56.72
Reward:risk at entry1.43
Outcomestopped out
Close price58.78
Realized P&L-1.46%
Time open8.3 hours

What the model saw at issue time

AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.

1. REGIME READ: mtf_alignment mixed (2/4) — 5m/15m bear_aligned (15m RSI 25.7 oversold), 1h mixed, 4h bull_aligned; 1h ADX 12.8 (chop) with slope +1.7, ER_30 0.27, choppiness 49.3 mid, Hurst 0.45 mean-reverting, HMM calm — a higher-TF uptrend rolled into a fresh downside pullback with near-term bear momentum. 2. LEAN CHECK: tilts short near-term — net_move -1.01% (4h) / -2.42% (24h), OI accelerating_down (oi_5m_z -1.56), taker ratio 0.839 sell-skew, silver spot XAG also -2.96%. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: flow/momentum cluster is short — declining OI on a falling price (longs unwinding), sub-1.0 taker ratio, and correlated silver-spot weakness; the prior SLVON short in this exact setup won +1.10%. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 15m RSI 25.7 oversold + 4h bull structure could snap back with a mean-reversion bounce off the 5d low (only +0.73% above), invalidating the short. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop above the recent 4h swing/mid-consolidation at 58.78 (~1.46% risk, within ~0.5x rv/atr band); take_profit_1 stretch at 56.72 (~2.09% reward, ~1.43x risk, inside clamps) targeting a break of the 5d low. 6. EXPECTATION: momentum favors continuation but oversold + mean-reverting Hurst caps it.

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