SLVONUSD short — 18 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This short on SLVONUSD entered at 59.0709 and hit its target at 58.6684 after 7.8 hours, closing at +0.68%.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-18 05:43 |
| Entry | 59.0709 |
| Stop-loss | 59.72 |
| Take-profit 1 | 58.6684 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 58.4 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.03 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 58.6684 |
| Realized P&L | +0.68% |
| Time open | 7.8 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf_alignment mixed (0/4) — 5m bear/15m mixed(RSI 29.5 oversold), 1h/4h bull_aligned; 1h ADX 19.5 fading (slope -1.3), ADX-20 19.3, ER_10 0.32 / ER_30 0.036 (path nets nowhere), choppiness 40.0 mid, Hurst 0.39 mean-reverting, HMM calm conf 1.0 — a higher-TF uptrend rolled into a fresh near-term downside pullback. 2. LEAN CHECK: near-term tilts short — net_move -0.79% (4h) / -1.24% (12h) / -1.02% (24h), 5m bear-aligned, but 15m RSI 29.5 oversold and 1h/4h EMA stacks still bull argue for a bounce; genuinely two-sided so I lean the more supported short-term momentum path but small. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: short — the sole coherent near-term cluster is momentum (all three net-moves negative, 5m bear stack, XAG spot also -1.0%), with OI accelerating_up (oi_z +3.3) as fresh shorts press; counter to higher-TF bull but no reclaim signal has fired yet. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 15m RSI 29.5 oversold + 1h/4h bull stack could snap a mean-reverting bounce back above the pullback high, invalidating the short. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 59.0709; stop above the recent 4h swing / 5d-high vicinity at 59.72 (~1.1% = ~1.0x atr_pct_4h realized range); stretch target down toward the 5d-low zone at 58.42 (~1.1% below, RR ~1.05, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: mean-reverting Hurst + oversold 15m caps downside continuation, so meaningful expire/bounce probability.
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