SLVONUSD short — 18 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This short on SLVONUSD entered at 58.8803 and hit its target at 58.2441 after 1 hours, closing at +1.08%.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-18 13:58 |
| Entry | 58.8803 |
| Stop-loss | 59.68 |
| Take-profit 1 | 58.2441 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 57.82 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.33 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 58.2441 |
| Realized P&L | +1.08% |
| Time open | 1 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf_alignment mixed (2/4) — 5m/15m bear_aligned, 1h mixed (RSI 39), 4h bull_aligned (ADX 32.9); 1h ADX 19 flat, ADX-20 16.7, ER_10 0.38 / ER_30 0.14 (path nets nowhere), choppiness 41.7 mid, Hurst 0.41 mean-reverting, HMM calm conf 1.0 — a higher-TF uptrend rolled into a fresh near-term downside pullback. 2. LEAN CHECK: near-term tilts short — net_move -0.29% (4h), -1.09% (12h), -1.16% (24h), 5m/15m EMA bear, silver spot XAG -1.17% 24h; contradicted by OI accelerating_up + top-trader pos ratio 1.55 long + 4h bull, so a modest short lean into the pullback. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: near-term momentum cluster (5m/15m bear stacks, consistent negative 4h/12h/24h net moves, silver spot weak) favors continuation of the pullback lower; this asset's prior short into a fresh pullback from a stalled uptrend won. 4. PRE-MORTEM: OI accelerating_up with top-trader position ratio 1.55 (net long) plus 4h bull could reassert the uptrend — a reclaim of ~59.4 (near the 5d-high area) would invalidate the short. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 58.88, stop above near-term structure/invalidation at 59.68 (~1.36%, within 24h avg range ~2.4% x realized vol), take_profit_1 at 57.82 (~1.80% down, ~1.3x stop distance) toward the 5d/20d-low zone. 6. EXPECTATION: modest bear momentum vs strong contra positioning/4h bull; low-vol chop asset with 51.9% wr → p_tp1 39, p_sl 36, p_expire 25.
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