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SLVONUSD short — 28 Aug 2026 (stopped out)

This short on SLVONUSD entered at 62.1362 and stopped out at 62.83 after 4.4 hours, closing at -1.12%.

AssetSLVONUSD
Directionshort
Issued (UTC)2026-08-28 01:53
Entry62.1362
Stop-loss62.83
Take-profit 161.6645
Take-profit 2 (stretch)61.35
Reward:risk at entry1.13
Outcomestopped out
Close price62.83
Realized P&L-1.12%
Time open4.4 hours

What the model saw at issue time

AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.

1. REGIME READ: MTF 2/4 mixed (5m mixed, 15m/1h/4h EMA bull-aligned), 1h ADX 12.9 (slope -0.84) / ADX-20 9.3 = deep chop, ER_30 0.06 nets nowhere, choppiness 47, Hurst 0.46, HMM calm conf 1.0 — a stalled higher-TF uptrend grinding sideways near the 5d/90d high (-1.55% / -1.83%). 2. LEAN CHECK: near-term momentum is rolling over (net -0.92% 4h, -1.41% 24h) and OI is bleeding hard (oi_5m_z -2.53, oi_15m_z -2.13, accelerating_down, oi_change_recent_half -1.75%) with a fresh taker sell tilt (latest ratio 0.76, prior bucket 0.68) — favors a modest SHORT lean on de-risking flow, though the bull EMA stack cuts against it. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: the strongest cluster is flow/OI — accelerating_down OI with fresh sell-side taker pressure and negative 4h/24h momentum near a rejected 5d/90d high; funding z +2.63 (crowded long) adds unwind fuel. 4. PRE-MORTEM: the persistent 15m/1h/4h bull EMA stack plus top-trader pos ratio 1.71 rising means a reclaim back above ~62.7 flips this to a squeeze — invalidation. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 62.1362; stop above the reclaim level and recent structure at 62.83 (~1.12% / ~0.5x avg daily range, within RV); target the 5d-low zone / measured continuation at 61.35 (~1.25% down, R:R ~1.1). 6. EXPECTATION: chop with a modest flow edge — p_tp1 39, p_sl 34, p_expire 27.

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