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SLVONUSD short — 15 Sep 2026 (hit target)
This short on SLVONUSD entered at 57.977 and hit its target at 57.2408 after 1.9 hours, closing at +1.27%.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-15 12:58 |
| Entry | 57.977 |
| Stop-loss | 58.92 |
| Take-profit 1 | 57.2408 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 56.75 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.30 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 57.2408 |
| Realized P&L | +1.27% |
| Time open | 1.9 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf_alignment mixed (0/4) but the higher TFs disagree with the lower — 1h and 4h EMA stacks both bear_aligned while 5m is bull_aligned and 15m mixed, 1h ADX 32.4 slope -3.6 (genuine but fading trend), ER_10 0.14 / ER_30 0.02 / choppiness 43.7 (a noisy path netting nowhere), Hurst 0.53, HMM calm conf 1.0 — a calm, fading-bear-into-chop tape with a fresh short-term up-impulse. 2. LEAN CHECK: genuinely two-sided — HTF EMA stacks are bear_aligned but 1h ADX is fading, RSI 5m/15m deeply overbought (75/76) from a hot net +1.65% 4h push, taker 1h 1.03 and net +1.78% 24h are bullish, yet rolling_z -0.96 and price -2.2% below the 5d high; the recent SLVON short track record is mixed (3 wins, 3 losses) and this asset's 30d wr is only 52% with negative avg_pnl. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: the modest edge is a mean-reversion short — 5m/15m RSI 75-76 overbought after a sharp 4h spike into declining 1h ADX and a bear_aligned HTF EMA stack, so the up-impulse likely fades back toward the mean. 4. PRE-MORTEM: if price holds above and reclaims the 5d high (~59.30) with the 1h EMA stack flipping bull, the fade is wrong and momentum continues up. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 57.98, stop_loss 58.92 just beyond the 5d-high reclaim zone (~1.62% ≈ 0.5x the 3.06% avg daily range, within stop-width rule), take_profit_1 56.75 targeting the mean/prior consolidation (~2.12% down, R:R ≈ 1.3, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: overbought-fade on a calm chop tape with a live counter-impulse — modest edge, high expire risk.
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