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SLVONUSD short — 15 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SLVONUSD entered at 57.1227 and stopped out at 57.95 after 5.2 hours, closing at -1.45%.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-15 07:43 |
| Entry | 57.1227 |
| Stop-loss | 57.95 |
| Take-profit 1 | 56.5511 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 56.17 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.15 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 57.95 |
| Realized P&L | -1.45% |
| Time open | 5.2 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: Full bearish MTF (4/4 bear_aligned across 5m/15m/1h/4h), 1h ADX 35.2 slope +0.25 (genuine trend, roughly steady), ER_30 0.24 / choppiness 50.6 (neutral-choppy path), Hurst 0.54 (weak persistence), HMM calm conf 1.0 — a firm bear trend on a calm tape. 2. LEAN CHECK: clearly bear-leaning — every TF bear_aligned, silver spot XAG -0.97% 24h, net -0.63% 24h / -0.61% 4h, rolling z -1.69 (already stretched down but still trending). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: HTF trend alignment is the strongest cluster — 4/4 bear stack with 1h ADX >35 confirms a real down-trend, and the silver-spot reference confirming weakness makes this trend-aligned short. 4. PRE-MORTEM: rolling z -1.69 and price sitting at the 5d/20d/90d low (+0.49% off low) means a mean-reversion bounce off the extreme could snap this up — the fresh oversold stretch is the risk. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 57.1227; invalidation is a reclaim above recent intraday resistance ~57.85, so stop at 57.95 (~1.45% = ~0.9x the 1h atr-scaled daily range); target the next structural leg down toward 56.15, ~1.7% and inside the 1.5x/4% clamps with R:R ~1.15. 6. EXPECTATION: trend-aligned but oversold at extreme with mediocre track record — p_tp1 43, p_sl 36, p_expire 21.
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