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SLVONUSD short — 15 Sep 2026 (stopped out)

This short on SLVONUSD entered at 57.8108 and stopped out at 58.62 after 8.4 hours, closing at -1.40%.

AssetSLVONUSD
Directionshort
Issued (UTC)2026-09-15 18:28
Entry57.8108
Stop-loss58.62
Take-profit 157.1563
Take-profit 2 (stretch)56.72
Reward:risk at entry1.35
Outcomestopped out
Close price58.62
Realized P&L-1.40%
Time open8.4 hours

What the model saw at issue time

AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.

1. REGIME READ: 1h and 4h EMA stacks both bear_aligned while 5m bull / 15m mixed (alignment 0/4), 1h ADX 23.8 slope -3.97 (genuine but fading trend), ER_10 0.42 / ER_30 0.18 / choppiness 52.0 (noisy path netting nowhere), Hurst 0.52, HMM calm conf 1.0 — a calm, cooling bear trend that has flattened into chop (net 24h only +0.09%). 2. LEAN CHECK: mild short lean — HTF EMA stacks bear-aligned and OI collapsing (oi_15m_z -2.23, momentum accelerating_down, -3.4% 24h), but LTF momentum has flipped up (net +0.84% 4h, RSI 5m 70 overbought) and this asset's own track record is barely above coin-flip (51.9% wr, -0.119% avg pnl) with recent same-regime chop signals losing on both sides — so a low-confidence lean, not conviction. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: short is trend-aligned with the 1h/4h bear EMA stacks plus accelerating_down OI unwind (longs bleeding), and price sits -0.97 z below the 20d mean near the middle of a tight range — the fading bounce into 5m-overbought is a natural fade point back toward the lower range. 4. PRE-MORTEM: net +0.84% over last 4h with 5m/15m bull momentum and top-trader account ratio 5.15 (crowd long) — if the bounce continues through the 5d-high resistance the bear thesis is dead. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 57.81; stop above the recent bounce/short-term structure at 58.62 (~1.4%, well within 3.06% avg daily range and ~1x realized range); TP1 stretch down at 56.72 (~1.9%, R:R ~1.35, inside clamps) toward the lower half of the range. 6. EXPECTATION: cooling trend + chop + coin-flip track record → modest edge, meaningful expire probability.

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