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SLVONUSD short — 15 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SLVONUSD entered at 57.2372 and stopped out at 57.98 after 3.4 hours, closing at -1.30%.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-15 14:58 |
| Entry | 57.2372 |
| Stop-loss | 57.98 |
| Take-profit 1 | 56.6869 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 56.32 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.23 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 57.98 |
| Realized P&L | -1.30% |
| Time open | 3.4 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf_alignment mixed (0/4) but the HTF disagrees with LTF — 1h and 4h EMA stacks both bear_aligned while 5m bull / 15m mixed; 1h ADX 29.2 slope -4.8 (genuine but fading trend), ER_10 0.06 / ER_30 0.02 / choppiness 49.6 (a noisy path netting nowhere), Hurst 0.52, HMM calm conf 1.0 — a calm, cooling bear trend on a chop-heavy tape. 2. LEAN CHECK: mildly bear-leaning — HTF EMA stacks bear-aligned, rolling z -1.40 (extended below mean), OI collapsing (oi_15m_z -3.43, momentum accelerating_down) and taker 1h 0.694 (sell-heavy) all point down; no clean reclaim to fade. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow — sharp OI unwind (oi_change_24h -5.7%, accelerating_down) plus persistent sub-1.0 taker ratio into a bear-aligned 1h/4h EMA stack; SLVON short is the tape's established edge (all 3 recent wins were shorts). 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI is mid-range (1h 46.8), price sits just +0.88% off the 5d/20d/90d low, and 5m is already bull_aligned — an oversold bounce off the low would invalidate; a XAG spot pop (silver +1.08% ETF proxy, XAG 24h +0.25%) is the reclaim risk. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 57.2372; stop above the recent minor swing / 5m bull structure at 57.98 (~1.30% stop, within the 3.06% avg daily range and ~1x atr geometry); take_profit_1 at 56.32 (~1.60% below, ~1.24x stop distance, R:R ~1.24) targeting a retest toward the 5d low zone — inside the 4% clamp. 6. EXPECTATION: chop-heavy calm tape with a fading ADX and a low nearby caps follow-through, so a meaningful expire share.
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