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SLVONUSD short — 17 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SLVONUSD entered at 57.4887 and stopped out at 58.15 after 4.9 hours, closing at -1.15%.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-17 02:23 |
| Entry | 57.4887 |
| Stop-loss | 58.15 |
| Take-profit 1 | 57.0455 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 56.75 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.12 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 58.15 |
| Realized P&L | -1.15% |
| Time open | 4.9 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 15m/1h/4h EMA all bear_aligned (5m mixed), mtf 2/4, 1h ADX 24.4 slope -3.57 (genuine but fading trend), ER_10 0.32 / ER_30 0.05 / choppiness 45, Hurst 0.50, HMM calm conf 1.0 — a calm, cooling bear drift edging toward chop. 2. LEAN CHECK: modestly bear-leaning — three HTFs bear_aligned, net_move_12h -2.03% and net_move_24h -2.04%, silver spot XAG -1.01% 24h, OI bleeding (-5.95% 24h, oi_15m_z -0.77, decelerating). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: HTF EMA stack (15m/1h/4h bear) plus falling OI into a down move and taker ratio 0.90 (<1, sell-side) align with a continued downdrift; this side has repeatedly won on this asset per the track record. 4. PRE-MORTEM: fresh net_move_4h +0.61% (short-term bounce) plus rolling_z -1.00 (already stretched below mean) and z 5d_low +1.21% — a mean-reversion pop through the 5d high would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 57.4887; stop above recent structure/bounce risk at 58.15 (~1.15%, within rv/atr band given 1h atr 0.78%); stretch target down at 56.75 (~1.28%, R:R ~1.1, inside clamps) toward the 5d-low zone. 6. EXPECTATION: fading trend + bounce risk keeps this a modest edge with meaningful expire probability.
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