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SLVONUSD short — 17 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SLVONUSD entered at 58.1767 and stopped out at 58.83 after 4.6 hours, closing at -1.12%.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-17 07:23 |
| Entry | 58.1767 |
| Stop-loss | 58.83 |
| Take-profit 1 | 57.7227 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 57.42 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.16 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 58.83 |
| Realized P&L | -1.12% |
| Time open | 4.6 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf_alignment mixed (0/4), 1h/4h EMA both bear_aligned while 5m bull / 15m mixed; 1h ADX 17.8 slope -3.5 (weak, fading), ER_10 0.64 but ER_30 0.08 / choppiness 43, Hurst 0.50, HMM calm conf 1.0 — a calm downdrift that has decayed into transitional chop with a fresh short-term bounce. 2. LEAN CHECK: modestly bear-leaning on the HTF — 1h and 4h EMA both bear_aligned, net_move_24h -0.65%, OI bleeding (oi_change_24h -3.6%, decelerating), taker 1h 0.955 (sell tilt); but a fresh 4h pop (+0.61%) and 5m bull EMA cut against it, so this is thin. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: the strongest cluster is HTF trend — both durable timeframes bear_aligned with OI unwinding into the drift, consistent with the six prior SLVON shorts that mostly won on exactly this calm-bear-drift setup. 4. PRE-MORTEM: a reclaim of the 5d high (~1.1% above, 58.83) with 5m/15m bull EMA extending would flip the LTF and invalidate the fade. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop_loss 58.83 just above the 5d-high reclaim level; entry 58.18; target 57.42 at recent structural support, stop distance ~1.13% vs reward ~1.30% → R:R ~1.15, within 24h reach given avg 24h traversal ~1.54% and rv pctile high. 6. EXPECTATION: modest edge, thin confluence with an active LTF bounce cutting against, so meaningful expire probability.
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