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SLVONUSD short — 24 Sep 2026 (expired)

This short on SLVONUSD entered at 57.908 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 58.05 with a price move of -0.25%, and does not count in the win rate.

AssetSLVONUSD
Directionshort
Issued (UTC)2026-09-24 02:09
Entry57.908
Stop-loss58.85
Take-profit 157.0812
Take-profit 2 (stretch)56.53
Reward:risk at entry1.46
Outcomeexpired flat
Close price58.05
Realized P&L-0.25%
Time open24 hours

What the model saw at issue time

AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.

1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed/transitional — 5m/15m/4h bear_aligned (RSI 27-35, oversold), 1h EMA mixed; 1h ADX 46.8 slope +3.5 (strong, firming), ER_10 0.50 / ER_30 0.52 (moderately directional), choppiness 42.4 (mid), Hurst 0.49 (neutral), HMM calm conf 1.0 — a calm-vol tape with a firm, still-strengthening down-trend across most frames. 2. LEAN CHECK: bear-leaning — net_move_4h -0.97%, 12h -1.55%, 24h -3.87%, silver spot XAG -3.97% 24h, SLV ETF proxy -4.23%, at 5d/20d/90d low (dist_5d_low +0.00%), rolling_z -1.30. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — most frames bear_aligned with firming 1h ADX and price making fresh lows in sympathy with silver spot; this asset's track record strongly favors trend-continuation shorts (3 recent short wins vs a long loss). 4. PRE-MORTEM: deeply oversold RSI (15m 27.9, 1h 27.0) at the 5d/20d/90d low sets up a mean-reversion bounce that would invalidate a fresh short. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 57.908; stop above the recent 4h consolidation/invalidation at 58.85 (~1.63% / ~0.45x rv_24h — snug); take_profit_1 at 56.53, ~1.46x the stop distance clamped within bounds and a reachable extension of the down-thrust given 24h traversal ~1.29%. 6. EXPECTATION: oversold at extrema caps continuation odds — modest edge for the trend side.

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