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SLVONUSD short — 25 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SLVONUSD entered at 57.7487 and stopped out at 58.72 after 2.9 hours, closing at -1.68%.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-25 05:53 |
| Entry | 57.7487 |
| Stop-loss | 58.72 |
| Take-profit 1 | 57.0775 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 56.63 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.15 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 58.72 |
| Realized P&L | -1.68% |
| Time open | 2.9 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF regime bear_trend — 15m/1h/4h all bear_aligned (4h RSI 36.9), 1h ADX ~30 but slope -3.97 (fading), ADX-20 33 confirms a genuine but decelerating down-trend; ER_10 0.13 / ER_30 0.21 (noisy, nets little), choppiness 63.3 (range-bound), Hurst 0.51 neutral, HMM calm conf 1.0 — a calm, fading bear trend rolling toward chop. 2. LEAN CHECK: modestly bear-leaning — 1h/4h EMA stack bear, taker_1h 0.94 (mild sell), silver spot XAG -0.62% 24h, SLV proxy -0.93%, rolling_z_20d -1.56 (stretched below mean); trend and flow both point down, no reclaim, so short. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — the higher-TF EMA stack (15m/1h/4h bear) plus a corroborating silver-spot decline is the strongest cluster; price is -5.48% off 5d/20d/90d high with no reclaim attempt. 4. PRE-MORTEM: rolling_z -1.56 and 4h RSI 36.9 flag oversold-stretch — a mean-reversion bounce off the 5d low (+0.61% away) plus firm top-trader long ratio (pos 3.46) would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 57.75; stop above recent structure at 58.72 (~1.68% / near 24h avg range and below 5d high), invalidation on a reclaim; take_profit_1 stretch 56.63 (~1.94% down, ~1.15x stop distance, R:R ~1.15) targeting a retest toward the 5d low band — reachable given avg_move_24h 1.32% and 4h atr. 6. EXPECTATION: fading trend into chop + oversold stretch caps conviction; p_tp1 41 / p_sl 37 / p_expire 22.
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