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SLVONUSD short — 29 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SLVONUSD entered at 54.846 and stopped out at 55.71 after 14.5 hours, closing at -1.58%.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-29 04:08 |
| Entry | 54.846 |
| Stop-loss | 55.71 |
| Take-profit 1 | 54.3264 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 53.98 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.00 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 55.71 |
| Realized P&L | -1.58% |
| Time open | 14.5 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bearish 4/4 (EMA bear-aligned every frame), 1h ADX 48.9 slope +0.086 (strong, still rising), choppiness 46.5 (mid but ER_10 0.67/ER_30 0.52 show a reasonably clean one-way path), Hurst 0.55 (mildly trending), HMM calm conf 1.0 — a genuine, strong down-trend at fresh 20d/90d lows. 2. LEAN CHECK: clearly bear-leaning — price crashing to a fresh 20d/90d low (dist +0.0), rolling z -2.47, net_24h -2.47%, silver spot XAG also down 2.6%, gold spot down 3.1% in macro. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: dominant cluster is trend + structure — full_bearish 4/4 with ADX ~49 into a fresh low, corroborated by macro precious-metals weakness (gold -3.1%, silver ETF proxy -5.5%); this asset's own track record of trend-continuation shorts has repeatedly won. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 1h RSI 26.7 / 4h RSI 16.0 deeply oversold plus taker ratio 1.18 (buyers stepping in) could trigger a mean-reversion bounce that reclaims the broken level. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop_loss 55.71 sits above the recent intraday swing/EMA cluster (~1.57% risk, within the 24h realized range given atr_pct_4h 0.9 and rv 38%); take_profit_1 53.98 is the next lower structural extension (~1.58% reward, R:R ~1.0, inside clamps, reachable in 24h given avg_move_24h 1.44%). 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend favors continuation but deep oversold caps it — p_tp1 46, p_sl 34, p_expire 20.
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