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SLVONUSD short — 30 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SLVONUSD entered at 55.1207 and stopped out at 55.78 after 56 minutes, closing at -1.20%.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-30 11:35 |
| Entry | 55.1207 |
| Stop-loss | 55.78 |
| Take-profit 1 | 54.6583 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 54.35 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.17 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 55.78 |
| Realized P&L | -1.20% |
| Time open | 56 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bearish 4/4 (EMA bear-aligned every frame), but 1h ADX only 16.8 with negative slope (-0.26) and 4h ADX 35 — trend is real on 4h but fading on 1h; ER_10 0.23 / ER_30 0.016 and choppiness 49 show a noisy path netting nowhere; Hurst 0.55 mildly persistent, HMM calm — a stale bear stack rolling into chop. 2. LEAN CHECK: modestly bear-leaning — every EMA frame is bear-aligned, net_move_4h -0.81% is fresh downside momentum, rolling z -1.63 and price only +0.35% off 20d/90d low; the higher-TF trend gives a nameable side. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — full_bearish MTF + fresh 4h down-thrust + funding unwinding (funding_momentum -0.80) with price pressing lows favors continuation, though conviction is capped by the flat 1h ADX and dead ER. 4. PRE-MORTEM: price is only +0.35% above the 20d/90d low and z is -1.63 (stretched); a reclaim/bounce off that floor with the 5m/15m already softest would flip this into a mean-reversion long. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop above recent minor structure at 55.78 (~1.2% / roughly 0.5x rv-implied 24h range, beyond the invalidation swing); target down at 54.35, a stretch just above the 20d low zone, R:R ~1.15. 6. EXPECTATION: base rate on this asset's bear signals is mixed (54% wr) and tape is choppy, so keep p_expire meaningful.
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