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SLVONUSD short — 1 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SLVONUSD entered at 54.8607 and stopped out at 55.52 after 4 hours, closing at -1.20%.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-01 08:35 |
| Entry | 54.8607 |
| Stop-loss | 55.52 |
| Take-profit 1 | 54.4283 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 54.14 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.09 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 55.52 |
| Realized P&L | -1.20% |
| Time open | 4 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 4h EMA bear-aligned with 4h ADX 32.7 (genuine 4h downtrend) and 4h RSI 36.7, but 1h ADX only 12.8 slope -0.42 (chop/no 1h trend), choppiness 42.5, ER_10 0.04 / ER_30 0.13 (very noisy path netting nowhere), Hurst 0.54, HMM calm conf 1.0 — a real 4h bear stack that has stalled into 1h chop near the 5d low. 2. LEAN CHECK: modestly bear-leaning on the dominant 4h EMA stack plus accelerating_down OI (oi_5m_z -1.41, oi_change_recent_half -4.69%) and -1.24% net 4h momentum; the only offset is top-trader long-skew and rolling_z -1.47 (stretched down). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — 4h bear stack + fresh downside 4h push + OI accelerating down + silver spot XAG -1.26% all point the same way; this exact setup won 3 of the last SLVON shorts. 4. PRE-MORTEM: rolling_z -1.47 and price pinned +0.53% off the 5d low means a mean-reversion bounce is the main risk — a reclaim of ~55.3 with momentum invalidates. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 54.86, stop beyond the near-term swing/invalidation at 55.52 (0.66 wide, ~1.2x the 1.50% avg 24h traversal, consistent with 24h rv), target 54.14 as the push toward the 5d low region (R:R ~1.1, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: noisy chop near a low with a modest bear lean — favor the short but keep meaningful expire odds.
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