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SLVONUSD short — 2 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SLVONUSD entered at 54.7021 and stopped out at 55.47 after 2.6 hours, closing at -1.40%.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-02 01:20 |
| Entry | 54.7021 |
| Stop-loss | 55.47 |
| Take-profit 1 | 54.1128 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 53.72 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.28 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 55.47 |
| Realized P&L | -1.40% |
| Time open | 2.6 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bearish 4/4 (EMA bear-aligned every frame), but 1h ADX only 11.2 (slope +0.88) and ADX-20 9.4 (no 1h trend / chop), 4h ADX 27.9 (genuine 4h bear), choppiness 57, ER_10 0.19 / ER_30 0.02 (very noisy path netting nowhere), Hurst 0.52, HMM calm conf 1.0 — a real 4h bear stack stalled into 1h chop, sitting at the 5d low. 2. LEAN CHECK: modestly bear-leaning — every EMA frame bear-aligned, net 4h/12h/24h all negative, OI falling (-5.4% / -1.0% recent half) as price slips (longs unwinding into weakness), taker ratio 0.82 (sellers in control). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — full bearish EMA stack + declining OI + sub-1 taker ratio, with price pinned at the 5d/20d/90d low (+0.22% above), silver spot XAG also -0.67%; this asset's own track record is net short-bias wins in exactly this regime. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 5m RSI 16.8 and 15m RSI 26 are deeply oversold at the 90d low — a mean-reversion bounce off the low would invalidate; a reclaim back above ~55.4 kills the short. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 54.70, stop above the stalled 1h structure at 55.47 (~1.4% — within rv/atr range), target the next structural extension below the 90d low at 53.72 (stretch, ~1.8% / RR ~1.3). 6. EXPECTATION: oversold-at-low tempers downside follow-through, so meaningful bounce/expire risk.
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