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SLVONUSD short — 13 Oct 2026 (hit target)
This short on SLVONUSD entered at 53.8525 and hit its target at 53.389 after 9.7 hours, closing at +0.86%.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-13 15:35 |
| Entry | 53.8525 |
| Stop-loss | 54.52 |
| Take-profit 1 | 53.389 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 53.08 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.16 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 53.389 |
| Realized P&L | +0.86% |
| Time open | 9.7 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bearish 4/4 (5m/15m/1h/4h all bear-aligned), 1h ADX 40.8 slope +5.1 (trend firming hard), choppiness 43.6 (transitional-trending), ER_10 0.75 (clean recent downleg) / ER_30 0.36 (noisier longer), Hurst 0.51 neutral, HMM calm conf 1.0 — a firming low-vol bear trend. 2. LEAN CHECK: short lean — every TF bear-stacked, net moves negative across all horizons (-1.75% 4h / -1.89% 12h / -1.55% 24h). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — full_bearish MTF with ADX firming is the dominant cluster, confirmed by negative net momentum across all horizons; this exact setup won +0.74/+0.67/+0.92% on recent SLVON shorts. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI deeply oversold (25-27 on 5m/15m/1h), z_score -1.86, and taker ratio 1.27 (buy-tilted last hour) + top-trader pos ratio 3.42 long — a mean-revert bounce could stop a short; this is the counter-signal to respect. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 53.8525; stop above intraday structure at 54.52 (~1.24% — ~0.5x the rv/ADR, tight for low-vol token); target the 5d-low region at 53.08 (~1.42% down, R:R ~1.15, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: firming bear trend favors continuation but deep oversold caps conviction and raises bounce/expire odds.
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