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SLVONUSD short — 14 Oct 2026 (hit target)
This short on SLVONUSD entered at 52.5502 and hit its target at 51.8181 after 26 minutes, closing at +1.39%.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-14 12:35 |
| Entry | 52.5502 |
| Stop-loss | 53.4 |
| Take-profit 1 | 51.8181 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 51.33 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.44 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 51.8181 |
| Realized P&L | +1.39% |
| Time open | 26 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bearish 4/4 (5m/15m/1h/4h all bear-aligned), 1h ADX 63.4 slope +0.33 (very strong trend, barely still firming), choppiness 45.6 (transitional-trending), ER_10 0.83 (clean recent downleg)/ER_30 0.52, Hurst 0.54 neutral, HMM calm conf 1.0 — a strong, clean low-vol bear trend. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear short lean — every TF bear-stacked, net moves negative across all horizons (-1.20% 4h/-2.18% 12h/-3.74% 24h), silver spot XAG -3.98%, price pinned at its 5d/20d/90d low. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — 4/4 bear alignment with ADX 63 and clean efficiency ratio, confirmed by the correlated silver spot selloff; OI +11.4% as price falls (new shorts/conviction), top-trader pos ratio fading (-0.11 4h). 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI deeply oversold across all TFs (1h 21.9, 4h 22.3) and rolling z -3.19 — a mean-reversion bounce is the main risk; a reclaim of ~53.3 would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 52.5502; stop above the invalidation at 53.40 (~1.6% up, near recent intraday structure, within the elevated RV range); target the stretch lower at 51.30 (~2.4% down), reward:risk ~1.44x, inside clamps, reachable given avg 24h traversal 1.2% but RV at 89th pctile. 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend but oversold caps follow-through; p_tp1 48, p_sl 33, p_expire 19.
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