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SLVONUSD short — 17 Oct 2026 (expired)
This short on SLVONUSD entered at 51.32 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 51.42 with a price move of -0.19%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-17 21:54 |
| Entry | 51.32 |
| Stop-loss | 52.18 |
| Take-profit 1 | 50.756 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 50.38 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.09 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 51.42 |
| Realized P&L | -0.19% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bearish 4/4 (5m/15m/1h/4h all bear-aligned), 1h ADX 23.6 slope +2.2 (genuine trend, still firming), choppiness 25.7 (strongly trending), ER_10 0.63/ER_30 0.36 (recently clean downleg), Hurst 0.62 (mild persistence), HMM calm conf 1.0 — a low-vol, clean bear trend. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear short lean — every TF bear-stacked, net moves negative across all horizons (-0.52% 4h, -0.81% 12h, -0.93% 24h), OI down 3.3%/15m-z -1.73 (longs unwinding), rolling z -1.37. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: HTF trend alignment is the strongest cluster — all four TFs bear-stacked with rising ADX and strongly-trending choppiness confirms a durable downleg; OI bleeding supports a controlled grind lower rather than a squeeze setup. 4. PRE-MORTEM: oversold RSI (15m 20, 1h 29) + taker ratio 1.83 (strong 1h buying) + top-trader position ratio 3.29 long signal a possible mean-reversion bounce; a reclaim of the 5d-high area would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 51.32, stop above recent intraday structure at 52.18 (~1.68%, within ~1x the 2.79% 7d daily range / 4h atr); stretch TP at 50.38 (~1.83% down, R:R ~1.09, inside clamps) at the prior low shelf toward 5d-low. 6. EXPECTATION: trend favors continuation but oversold + heavy taker buying caps conviction and raises bounce/expire odds.
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