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SLVONUSD short — 19 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SLVONUSD entered at 51.63 and stopped out at 52.35 after 15 hours, closing at -1.39%.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-19 23:09 |
| Entry | 51.63 |
| Stop-loss | 52.35 |
| Take-profit 1 | 51.09 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 50.73 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.25 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 52.35 |
| Realized P&L | -1.39% |
| Time open | 15 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 2/4 (5m/4h bear-aligned, 15m/1h mixed), 1h ADX 19.1 slope +0.05 (weak/flat, borderline trend), adx_20 15.8, choppiness 45.9 (transitional), ER_10 0.37/ER_30 0.04 (noisy path netting nowhere), Hurst 0.61 (mild persistence), HMM calm conf 1.0 — a low-vol, mildly bearish-tilted but choppy tape. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest short lean — HTF 4h bear-stacked, net moves negative across all horizons (-0.29% 4h, -1.07% 12h, -0.77% 24h), 5m/15m/1h RSI oversold-to-weak (28/33/39), rolling z -0.79 (below mean). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — the 4h EMA bear stack plus consistently negative net moves and sub-mean z-score favor continuation lower; SLVON's track record on shorts in this regime is the better-performing side historically. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 5m RSI 28.5 deeply oversold and taker ratio 1.11 (buyers) plus +0.43% OI-recent-half could fuel a mean-reversion bounce that reclaims the 1h EMA and invalidates the short. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 51.63; stop above the recent intraday swing / 5d-high proximity at 52.35 (≈1.39% / within 0.6x the 2.5% avg daily range); stretch target down at 50.73 (≈1.74% move, R:R ≈1.25x, inside clamps) toward the lower intraday structure reachable in 24h given avg 24h traversal ~1.6%. 6. EXPECTATION: oversold short-term tempers immediate downside, keep meaningful expire.
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