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SLVONUSD short — 21 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SLVONUSD entered at 51.916 and stopped out at 52.62 after 14.1 hours, closing at -1.36%.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-21 06:39 |
| Entry | 51.916 |
| Stop-loss | 52.62 |
| Take-profit 1 | 51.3664 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 51 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.30 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 52.62 |
| Realized P&L | -1.36% |
| Time open | 14.1 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 2/4 (5m/4h bear-aligned, 15m/1h mixed), 1h ADX 17.3 slope -3.4 (weak and fading), adx_20 15.4, choppiness 47.6 (transitional), ER_10 1.0 but ER_30 0.07 (recent 10-bar clean move but 30-bar nets nowhere = noisy range), Hurst 0.58 mild persistence, HMM calm conf 1.0 — a low-vol, choppy-to-mildly-bearish tape. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest short lean — HTF 4h bear-stacked, net moves negative across all horizons (-0.44% 4h, -1.01% 12h, -0.71% 24h), taker ratio 0.92 (sell-tilted), OI bleeding (-4.2% 24h). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is HTF trend + flow alignment — 4h/5m EMA bear-stacked, 1h/15m RSI sub-44, consistent negative net moves and sell-side taker tape, with silver spot ref also -0.40% — all pointing down and trend-aligned on the dominant 4h frame. 4. PRE-MORTEM: price sits only +1.17% off the 5d low and ER_10 is 1.0 (one-way recent push) — a mean-reversion bounce off that nearby low would invalidate the short. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 51.916; stop above recent intraday structure at 52.62 (~1.36% / ~0.5x the 2.6% ADR, beyond the minor swing high); target the 5d-low region at 51.00, a ~1.76% move giving R:R ~1.3, reachable within 24h given 1.61% typical 24h traversal. 6. EXPECTATION: trend+flow favor the short modestly but choppy tape and a nearby low cap conviction — p_tp1 44, p_sl 36, p_expire 20.
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