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SLVONUSD short — 23 Oct 2026 (expired)
This short on SLVONUSD entered at 48.7727 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 48.73 with a price move of +0.09%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-23 01:54 |
| Entry | 48.7727 |
| Stop-loss | 49.74 |
| Take-profit 1 | 48.0511 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 47.57 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.24 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 48.73 |
| Realized P&L | +0.09% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: Full bearish MTF (4/4 bear-aligned 5m/15m/1h/4h), 1h ADX 61.6 slope +4.0 (very strong and firming), choppiness 29.6 (<38, strongly trending), ER_10 0.72/ER_30 0.78 (clean one-way move), Hurst 0.59, HMM calm conf 1.0 — a genuine, accelerating low-vol bear trend. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear short lean — HTF EMA fully bear-stacked, net moves all negative (4h -1.79%, 12h -2.79%, 24h -5.96%), price sitting at the 20d/90d low. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — the strongest cluster is the full bearish MTF stack plus ADX 61 rising and choppiness 29, confirmed by silver spot ref (XAGUSDT -5.81% 24h) and SLV ETF proxy -5.59% — the underlying silver complex is selling in lockstep (corr PAXG +0.83, XAUT +0.82). 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI deeply oversold (1h 16, 4h 21) and z-score -3.67 with rv at 92nd pctile — a sharp mean-reversion bounce off the extreme low would invalidate; a reclaim of ~50.0 with momentum flips the near-term tape. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 48.77; stop beyond the invalidation above recent structure at 49.74 (~1.99% / ~1.6x atr_pct_1h, within the 24h range gate); stretch target down at 47.57 (~2.46% below entry, R:R ~1.24, inside 1.5x/4% clamps) toward continuation of the bear leg. 6. EXPECTATION: oversold risk of a bounce tempers but trend strength dominates; a meaningful p_expire given the stretched conditions.
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