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SLVONUSD short — 28 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SLVONUSD entered at 48.5914 and stopped out at 49.36 after 5.3 hours, closing at -1.58%.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-28 14:42 |
| Entry | 48.5914 |
| Stop-loss | 49.36 |
| Take-profit 1 | 47.9006 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 47.44 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.50 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 49.36 |
| Realized P&L | -1.58% |
| Time open | 5.3 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 2/4 (5m/4h EMA bear-aligned, 15m/1h mixed), 1h ADX 15.8 slope -2.1 (weak and fading), choppiness 52.7 (transitional), ER_10 0.20/ER_30 0.12 (noisy, netting little), Hurst 0.53, HMM calm conf 1.0 — a low-vol, decelerating near-chop regime with a soft bear tilt. 2. LEAN CHECK: thin but discernible short lean — net moves all negative (4h -0.41%, 12h -0.92%, 24h -1.60%), 4h EMA bear-stacked with 4h ADX 47 (strong HTF bear), silver spot ref also down 1.2% 24h, gold down 0.58% 1d/2.4% 5d — macro metals softness aligns short. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: the HTF bear structure (4h ema bear + 4h ADX 47) plus consistently negative net moves and softening metals complex (XAG spot -1.2%, SLV proxy -0.67%, gold weak) all point the same way; rolling z -0.90 means price is below its 20d mean, consistent with an ongoing down-drift rather than a mean-revert bounce. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 5m RSI 21.9 deeply oversold and taker ratio 1.09 (mild buy pressure) — a near-term oversold bounce could reclaim the 1h EMA and invalidate the short. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 48.5914; stop above the 5d-high-adjacent reclaim level at 49.36 (~1.58% / ~0.6x rv_24h daily range, beyond a plausible oversold bounce); take_profit_1 at 47.44 (~2.37% down, ~1.5x stop distance, near the next structural low-extension), R:R ~1.5. 6. EXPECTATION: oversold bounce risk and chop keep this honest — p_tp1 41, p_sl 37, p_expire 22.
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