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SLVONUSD short — 31 Oct 2026 (expired)
This short on SLVONUSD entered at 44.78 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 45.04 with a price move of -0.58%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-31 14:27 |
| Entry | 44.78 |
| Stop-loss | 45.42 |
| Take-profit 1 | 44.336 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 44.04 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.16 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 45.04 |
| Realized P&L | -0.58% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 2/4 (5m EMA bull, 15m/1h/4h bear-stacked), 1h ADX 41.8 but slope -2.8 (strong yet fading), 4h ADX 61 with 4h RSI 22 (oversold), choppiness 63.5 (>61 range-bound), ER_10 0.11 (very noisy near-term) — a strong HTF bear that has decelerated into an oversold, choppy near-term stall. 2. LEAN CHECK: HTF structure is bearish but the near-term read is two-sided (4h oversold RSI 22, rolling z -2.26, +0.72% off the 90d low, 5m EMA flipped bull, taker 1.26 buy-tilted, OI momentum accelerating_up) — the fresh downside energy is spent and a short entry here chases an exhausted leg; still, HTF stack and the asset's own track record both favor the short side on continuation. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: the dominant cluster is HTF trend alignment (15m/1h/4h all bear-stacked, 4h ADX 61) plus this asset's repeated short-trend wins, pointing to continuation toward the 5d low — but with ADX fading and price at a 2.26-sigma stretch, I take a low-confidence short, not a conviction one. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 4h RSI 22 + z -2.26 + accelerating_up OI + buy-tilted takers is classic mean-reversion setup — a bounce back through 45.1 would invalidate the short. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 44.78, stop above the recent swing/reversal zone at 45.42 (0.64 dist, ~1.4% within the 3.1% daily range), target down at 44.04 (0.74 dist, R:R ~1.15x, inside clamps) toward the 5d-low region. 6. EXPECTATION: oversold stretch tempers downside follow-through; p_tp1 41, p_sl 37, p_expire 22.
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