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SLVONUSD short — 4 Nov 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SLVONUSD entered at 45.155 and stopped out at 45.78 after 26 minutes, closing at -1.38%.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-11-04 05:08 |
| Entry | 45.155 |
| Stop-loss | 45.78 |
| Take-profit 1 | 44.684 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 44.37 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.26 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 45.78 |
| Realized P&L | -1.38% |
| Time open | 26 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 2/4 (15m/1h/4h EMA all bear_aligned, 5m mixed), 1h ADX 16.7 slope -1.3 (weak and fading), 4h ADX 27.2, choppiness 53.9 (transitional/range), ER_10 0.17 / ER_30 0.12 (noisy, nets nowhere), Hurst 0.53, HMM calm conf 1.0 — a low-vol, conflicted HTF-bear structure with no clean trending push. 2. LEAN CHECK: the recurring SLVON setup — HTF EMA bear-stack (three TFs) gives a thin short lean, but near-term flow is counter (taker 1.38 buy-skewed, OI building +3.6%, top-trader pos ratio 3.24 long-tilted though fading). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: lean short on the 15m/1h/4h bear EMA stack plus rolling z -0.82 (price below mean, mean-reversion exhausted upside) and distance 2.5% below 5d high — this prints a bearish bias and the asset's own track record of winning shorts in this exact structure supports it. 4. PRE-MORTEM: taker ratio 1.38 + building OI + top-trader long tilt could extend the bounce back through the 5d high, invalidating the short. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 45.155; stop above recent bounce structure at 45.78 (~1.38% / within the 3.6% 7d range and comfortably above the near-term high); target down at 44.37 (~1.74%), R:R ~1.25, inside clamps, reachable within 24h given avg 24h traversal 1.87%. 6. EXPECTATION: HTF bear lean is real but counter-flow is active and vol is low/choppy — modest edge.
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