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SLVONUSD short — 6 Nov 2026 (expired)
This short on SLVONUSD entered at 47.1043 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 47.3 with a price move of -0.42%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-11-06 13:38 |
| Entry | 47.1043 |
| Stop-loss | 47.88 |
| Take-profit 1 | 46.5737 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 46.22 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.14 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 47.3 |
| Realized P&L | -0.42% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed/transitional (5m & 1h bull_aligned, 15m & 4h mixed), 1h ADX 17.8 slope -2.4 (weak, fading), choppiness 62.7 (range-bound), ER_10 0.24 / ER_30 0.09 (noisy, nets nowhere), Hurst 0.57, HMM calm conf 1.0 — the recurring low-vol tokenized-silver chop with a decaying push. 2. LEAN CHECK: fresh momentum is mildly DOWN — net_move_4h -0.34%, 24h -1.83%, silver spot XAG -1.68%, OI bleeding -11.7%/24h; but taker 1h 1.03 and recent prints lifting slightly, so edge is thin-but-real to the downside. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: short — the prevailing SLVONUSD short pattern (3 recent wins fading decaying-trend chop) plus macro risk-off (SPX -4.4%, VIX +70%) and silver spot still soft favor continuation lower; OI unwind confirms longs exiting not accumulating. 4. PRE-MORTEM: a reclaim above the 5d_high region (~48.2, +2.3%) with XAG spot turning up would invalidate; also taker ratio has crept above 1.0 — if buyers persist this fades fast. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 47.10, stop 47.88 just beyond intraday swing/5d-high shelf (+1.66%, ~0.5x the 3.6% ADR, respects stop-width), target 46.22 at the lower range toward 5d-low support (-1.87%), R:R ~1.13. 6. EXPECTATION: thin chop edge, so modest p_tp1 with meaningful expire given low ER.
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