SOLUSD long — 22 Jul 2026 (stopped out)
This long on SOLUSD entered at 78.5243 and stopped out at 76.9 after 21.1 hours, closing at -2.07%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-07-22 15:35 |
| Entry | 78.5243 |
| Stop-loss | 76.9 |
| Take-profit 1 | 79.9862 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 80.9607 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.50 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 76.9 |
| Realized P&L | -2.07% |
| Time open | 21.1 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 1h/4h EMA bull_aligned with 4h ADX 24 but 1h ADX only 16 and slope negative (-0.5), Hurst 0.45, choppiness 52, ER30 0.02 — a bull-tilted tape whose short-TF trend is decaying into low-energy chop near a 5d/20d/90d high. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest long lean — EMA stack bullish across 5m/1h/4h, OI accelerating up (oi_5m_z +3.16, oi_15m_z +3.41, agg_oi +21%), top-trader position ratio 1.62 long, taker 1.03. 3. THESIS: rising OI with top-trader long tilt and 4h RSI 62 + bull EMA stack supports continuation off the +1.25% 4h net move; SOL sits right at 90d/20d/5d high (-0.16%), so a break clears fresh ground. 4. PRE-MORTEM: rolling z +1.70 (extended), funding z negative and momentum unwinding (-1.84), and price stalling at the extrema without breaking would trigger mean-reversion back into the range. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 78.52; stop below the recent consolidation shelf at 76.90 (~2.07% risk, beyond the extension unwind); stretch TP at 81.20 above the high (~3.4% reward, R:R ~1.6) reachable given avg 24h traversal ~1.5% but p90 range 8.3% allows it on a breakout. 6. EXPECTATION: given SOL's 33% asset WR and extended z but genuine OI build, skew modestly to expire/reversion.
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