SOLUSD long — 23 Jul 2026 (stopped out)
This long on SOLUSD entered at 77.75 and stopped out at 76.3 after 12.9 hours, closing at -1.86%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-07-23 02:05 |
| Entry | 77.75 |
| Stop-loss | 76.3 |
| Take-profit 1 | 79.055 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 79.925 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.50 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 76.3 |
| Realized P&L | -1.86% |
| Time open | 12.9 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 1h/4h EMA bull-aligned but 5m/15m mixed (alignment 2/4), 1h ADX 11.3 and fading (slope -0.90), 4h ADX 25.7, choppiness 60, ER30 0.02, Hurst 0.44 — a bull-tilted tape that has decayed into low-energy chop. 2. LEAN CHECK: modestly two-sided — higher-TF EMA stack and top-trader positioning (pos ratio 1.65, account ratio 2.59 long) favor long, but 1h ADX fading, negative recent momentum (net -0.35% 4h, -0.49% 24h) and OI accelerating_down argue against; the higher-TF structure + strong top-trader long tilt gives a thin long lean. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: 1h/4h bull EMA stack holding, price only -1.17% off its 5d/20d/90d high (well-supported near range top), top-traders heavily long and taker flow neutral-to-positive over the 24h history — a shallow bull grind that can retest the recent high. 4. PRE-MORTEM: OI is accelerating_down (oi_momentum accelerating_down, agg_oi -3.95% 24h) and the last taker prints are sell-heavy (0.60, 0.65, 0.72) — if that OI bleed continues the drift rolls over below the 5d low. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 77.75; stop below recent structure at 76.30 (beyond a ~1.9% break that voids the bull grind); stretch TP at 79.95 near the 5d/90d high retest — reward 2.20 vs risk 1.45 = 1.52 R:R, reachable given avg 24h traversal ~1.3% and RV pctile 56%. 6. EXPECTATION: given SOL's weak 31.6% asset WR and choppy regime, temper — p_tp1 46, p_sl 38, p_expire 16.
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