SOLUSD long — 30 Jul 2026 (stopped out)
This long on SOLUSD entered at 74.72 and stopped out at 73.55 after 17.6 hours, closing at -1.57%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-07-30 13:51 |
| Entry | 74.72 |
| Stop-loss | 73.55 |
| Take-profit 1 | 75.773 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 76.475 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.50 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 73.55 |
| Realized P&L | -1.57% |
| Time open | 17.6 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf_alignment mixed (0/4), 5m/15m bull-stacked but 1h/4h bear-aligned, ADX 12-18 across TFs (chop), choppiness 50, ER-30 0.05 (nets nowhere), Hurst 0.46, HMM calm — this is a low-directionality chop regime with a fresh short-term upward wobble. 2. LEAN CHECK: near-term momentum is up (net +0.88% 4h, +1.32% 24h, taker 1.11 with recent buy-heavy buckets 1.30/1.28/1.19, OI +2% building, top-traders 1.65 pos long) — a modest long lean inside chop, so I take the long rather than abstain. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is the short-term bull EMA stacks (5m/15m) + buy-side taker flow + rising funding (z 1.40, momentum +1.82) + top-trader net-long positioning, and this asset's chop-state calibration is favorable (WR 60% in chop, and both prior same-regime chop longs went win/expire). 4. PRE-MORTEM: this is chop with bearish 1h/4h EMAs — a rejection back below ~74.2 (the 4h VWAP/support that's failing to break) invalidates the push and confirms the higher-TF bear stack. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 74.72; stop 73.55 below the recent consolidation/5d-low proximity (~1.57% risk, beyond invalidation); TP1 stretch 76.65 near the 5d-high (-2.88% → ~+2.6% up), R:R ~1.65, reachable within 24h given avg 24h traversal 1.6% and p90 daily range 5.6%. 6. EXPECTATION: chop + weak trend caps conviction; p_tp1 40, p_sl 34, p_expire 26.
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