SOLUSD long — 5 Aug 2026 (expired)
This long on SOLUSD entered at 74.03 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 74.217 with a price move of +0.25%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-05 05:22 |
| Entry | 74.03 |
| Stop-loss | 72.85 |
| Take-profit 1 | 74.972 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 75.6 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.33 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 74.217 |
| Realized P&L | +0.25% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 2/4, 1h ADX 8.8 (falling slope -1.3), ADX-20 6.99, choppiness 64.9 (>61 range-bound), ER-10/30 ~0.07 (nets nowhere), Hurst 0.41 (mean-reverting), HMM calm — this is a low-directionality chop, no genuine trend either way. 2. LEAN CHECK: 5m and 4h EMA stacks are bear-aligned while 15m/1h are mixed; taker 1.30 and recent hourly buckets buy-heavy (1.35/1.08/1.30), agg OI +0.6% and top-traders net long (pos 1.81, acct 2.79) — flow leans mildly up against a bear-tilted structure, so it's a thin two-sided read but the near-term flow edge favors a modest long. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: single credible cluster is flow — taker_buy_sell 1.30 with last-hour buy pressure plus top-trader net-long positioning and price only -0.30% off the 5d high (holding highs), a mild bid inside chop. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 4h/5m bear EMA stacks reassert and OI oi_momentum_state accelerating_down (recent-half -0.75%) drags price back to the 5d-low band, killing the long. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 74.03; stop below the recent consolidation floor at 72.85 (~1.6% ≈ 0.5x the 3.15% avg daily range, structural invalidation under the 20d/90d-low-facing shelf); stretch TP 75.60 (~2.1%, ~1.33x stop distance, toward reclaim of the 5d-high extension) — RR ~1.33. 6. EXPECTATION: chop caps directional follow-through and expiry risk is high given ADX collapse.
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