SOLUSD long — 8 Aug 2026 (expired)
This long on SOLUSD entered at 76.4686 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 77.019 with a price move of +0.72%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-08 15:08 |
| Entry | 76.4686 |
| Stop-loss | 75.32 |
| Take-profit 1 | 77.2194 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 77.72 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.09 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 77.019 |
| Realized P&L | +0.72% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 5m/15m/1h EMA stacks all bull-aligned with strong ADX (62/66/46) and rising 1h slope (+6.9), choppiness 27 (trending), ER10 0.79 (clean one-way), HMM calm — a strengthening near-term bull trend, only 4h EMA still mixed. 2. LEAN CHECK: momentum, flow and positioning all point up (net +3.5% 24h, +1.1% 4h, taker 1.53 with buy-heavy final bucket, OI accelerating_up +8.9% with oi_5m_z +2.97) — the long side clearly has the edge. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is trend+flow confluence — bull EMA stack across three TFs with high ADX plus OI accelerating into a fresh push and top-traders net long (pos ratio 1.69, account ratio 2.56), price pinned at the 5d/20d/90d high — trend-aligned continuation. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI overbought everywhere (5m 75, 15m 81, 1h 80) with rolling z +3.70 and RV at 95th pctile — an exhaustion reversal off the extreme would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop below the recent breakout shelf at 75.32 (~1.5% risk, within the 1h atr/rv), target the stretch at 77.72 (~1.6% / R:R ~1.05) — an honest extension above the 5d high reachable in 24h given avg 24h traversal ~1.1% but net move already +3.5% in an accelerating trend. 6. EXPECTATION: trend+flow favor continuation but overbought/extended tape caps it; p_tp1 47, p_sl 34, p_expire 19.
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