SOLUSD long — 13 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This long on SOLUSD entered at 76.3658 and stopped out at 75.28 after 14.6 hours, closing at -1.42%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-13 22:39 |
| Entry | 76.3658 |
| Stop-loss | 75.28 |
| Take-profit 1 | 77.1963 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 77.75 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.27 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 75.28 |
| Realized P&L | -1.42% |
| Time open | 14.6 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 1h ADX 10.1 (falling slope -2.0), adx_20 8.4, choppiness 50.8, ER10/30 ~0.12 (nets nowhere), Hurst 0.41 (mean-reverting), HMM calm — a low-directionality chop regime despite 5m/15m/1h EMA stacks being bull-aligned; 4h EMA mixed. 2. LEAN CHECK: near-term momentum is modestly up (net +0.43% 4h, +0.80% 12h, +1.10% 24h) and top-trader position ratio 1.65 (account ratio 2.59) leans long with OI accelerating_up — the long side has a thin edge; not fully two-sided. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: EMA stacks bull-aligned on 5m/15m/1h plus top-trader positioning long-tilted and OI z-scores positive (+0.56/+0.69) supports a low-conviction trend-aligned long. 4. PRE-MORTEM: funding negative (agg -0.00049, z -0.55) and taker ratio 0.98 (sell-lean latest) with fear_greed 29 — if the fresh 4h push fades and price loses the 12h base it rolls over in chop. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 76.37; stop below the recent intraday base at 75.28 (~1.43% risk, within ~0.5x rv/daily-range for a chop stop); stretch TP at 77.75 (~1.81% reward, ~1.27x risk, inside clamps) near the 5d-high resistance zone. 6. EXPECTATION: chop with weak trend caps p_tp1; meaningful expire probability given ER near zero and 15/31 SOL signals expired.
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