SOLUSD long — 22 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This long on SOLUSD entered at 93.6278 and hit its target at 95.5611 after 2.2 hours, closing at +2.06%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-22 05:20 |
| Entry | 93.6278 |
| Stop-loss | 91.15 |
| Take-profit 1 | 95.5611 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 96.85 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.30 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 95.5611 |
| Realized P&L | +2.06% |
| Time open | 2.2 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 4/4 full_bullish MTF, 1h ADX 53.9 but slope -1.03 (very strong, mildly fading), choppiness 32.9 (trending), ER10 0.18/ER30 0.22 (noisy path — trend has stalled into consolidation this session), Hurst 0.53, HMM calm conf 1.0 — a strong-but-stalling bull trend that's stretched (4h RSI 74.3 overbought, rolling z +2.27, RV 100th pctile). 2. LEAN CHECK: HTF trend and top-trader positioning (2.00 pos ratio) favor long, but recent-half OI accelerating up +10.8% while price barely moved (net 4h -0.10%) and the fresh 05:05 long just hit stop -2.84% — evidence still leans long but with degraded conviction. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned long — full MTF bull stack + top-trader long positioning + accelerating OI + strong recent same-regime win rate (4 of last 5 tp hits), price only -5.6% off the 90d high so trend structure intact. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 4h RSI 74 overbought + ER collapse to 0.18 + top_trader_pos_ratio fading (-0.29 fast, -0.13 slow) + funding_momentum negative means the trend is exhausting; a break below the recent consolidation low invalidates. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 93.63, stop below consolidation/recent swing at 91.15 (~2.65% — near 24h realized range given elevated RV), stretch TP at 96.85 (~3.44%, R:R ~1.30, inside clamps) toward reclaim of the 5d-high shelf ~99. 6. EXPECTATION: stretched tape + fading ADX/ER tempers the trend edge, so a meaningful expire probability.
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