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SOLUSD long — 25 Aug 2026 (stopped out)

This long on SOLUSD entered at 98.4927 and stopped out at 96.1 after 8.9 hours, closing at -2.43%.

AssetSOLUSD
Directionlong
Issued (UTC)2026-08-25 12:13
Entry98.4927
Stop-loss96.1
Take-profit 1100.2071
Take-profit 2 (stretch)101.35
Reward:risk at entry1.19
Outcomestopped out
Close price96.1
Realized P&L-2.43%
Time open8.9 hours

What the model saw at issue time

AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.

1. REGIME READ: 1h/4h EMA stacks bull_aligned with 4h ADX 48.2 and 1h ADX 34.1 but slope -4.2 (fading), 4h RSI 64, ER10 0.46/ER30 0.20 noisy, choppiness 54, Hurst 0.39 (mean-reverting), HMM volatile — a strong HTF bull trend cooling into intraday consolidation/pullback. 2. LEAN CHECK: mixed short-term signals but the HTF trend is bullish and top-traders are heavily long (pos ratio 2.20) — evidence tilts long despite fresh 4h/12h pullback. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: HTF trend alignment (1h+4h bull EMA, 4h ADX 48) plus top-trader positioning 2.20 and OI +5.1% 24h; +2.3% net 24h with price 13.8% above 5d low favors buying the intraday dip toward the trend. 4. PRE-MORTEM: taker ratio 0.84 (sellers heavy), net -1.9% 4h / -3.2% 12h with OI accelerating_down and 1h ADX fading — if the pullback deepens below the recent shelf the bull thesis breaks. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 98.49; stop below the intraday pullback shelf at 96.10 (~2.4% risk, within the elevated rv range); stretch target 101.35 (~2.9%, ~1.2x risk) toward the 5d high resistance at -3.3%. 6. EXPECTATION: fading momentum and heavy taker selling cap conviction; modest long lean.

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