SOLUSD long — 25 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This long on SOLUSD entered at 100.3563 and stopped out at 98.05 after 4.1 hours, closing at -2.30%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-25 07:58 |
| Entry | 100.3563 |
| Stop-loss | 98.05 |
| Take-profit 1 | 102.0025 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 103.1 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.19 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 98.05 |
| Realized P&L | -2.30% |
| Time open | 4.1 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF alignment 2/4 mixed but 1h/4h EMA stacks bull_aligned with 4h ADX 48.6 and 1h ADX 38.9 (slope +3.7 strengthening), ER10 0.31 noisy, choppiness 43.6, Hurst 0.40, HMM volatile conf 1.0 — a strong HTF bull trend but with intraday froth and 4h RSI 72 overbought. 2. LEAN CHECK: evidence favors long — +6.3% 24h, OI accelerating_up (5m z +0.80, 15m z +1.20, +11.8% 24h), top-traders heavily long (pos ratio 2.30), price 1.5% off 20d/90d highs; only near-term drag is taker 0.82 (sellers currently pressing) and net -1.25% last 4h pullback. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: HTF trend is unambiguously bullish (4h/1h bull EMA stack, ADX rising, OI building into the move) — the pullback into a rising trend is the buyable dip, matching this asset's winning long template (65.3% wr, +0.396% avg). 4. PRE-MORTEM: taker 0.82 + 4h RSI 72 overbought + net -1.25% 4h says momentum may be exhausting; a break below the recent consolidation ~98 invalidates the dip-buy. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop_loss 98.05 below the intraday base (structural invalidation, ~2.3% = ~0.7x rv-implied 24h range); take_profit_1 103.10 (~2.7% up, R:R ~1.2), a stretch toward reclaiming and extending past the 5d high, reachable given avg_move_24h 3.58%. 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend but overbought + selling taker tape caps conviction — p_tp1 45, p_sl 34, p_expire 21.
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