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SOLUSD long — 30 Aug 2026 (stopped out)

This long on SOLUSD entered at 107.1825 and stopped out at 105.05 after 6.6 hours, closing at -1.99%.

AssetSOLUSD
Directionlong
Issued (UTC)2026-08-30 13:53
Entry107.1825
Stop-loss105.05
Take-profit 1108.783
Take-profit 2 (stretch)109.85
Reward:risk at entry1.25
Outcomestopped out
Close price105.05
Realized P&L-1.99%
Time open6.6 hours

What the model saw at issue time

AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.

1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bullish 4/4, 4h ADX 32 / RSI 65 but 1h ADX only 12.4 (slope +2.7), ER10 0.55 / ER30 0.36, choppiness 39.6 (trending edge), Hurst 0.51, HMM calm conf 1.0 — a real HTF uptrend that has flattened into consolidation near the highs after a +3.2% day. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest long lean — HTF EMA stack fully bullish, top-traders heavily long (pos ratio 2.14), OI building sharply (oi_5m_z +3.2, oi_15m_z +2.3), price only -1.99% off the 90d high. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow/OI + positioning — aggregate OI +0.63% 24h with 5m/15m z-scores both elevated and top-traders 2.14 long confirms fresh long conviction, aligned with the full_bullish MTF stack. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 5m/15m RSI 77-79 overbought and z-score +1.52 signal a stretched tape; a rejection back under ~105.5 breaks the near-term structure and invalidates the long. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop_loss 105.05 sits just below the consolidation base / rising short-TF support (~2% risk, well inside the 6.3% 7d range); take_profit_1 109.85 targets a push through the 5d/90d high area at ~2.5% (R:R ~1.3, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: overbought short-TF and decelerating OI momentum temper the win prob but trend/positioning favor continuation.

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