SOLUSD long — 5 Sep 2026 (hit target)
This long on SOLUSD entered at 102.99 and hit its target at 104.736 after 13.9 hours, closing at +1.70%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-05 12:46 |
| Entry | 102.99 |
| Stop-loss | 100.55 |
| Take-profit 1 | 104.736 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 105.9 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.19 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 104.736 |
| Realized P&L | +1.70% |
| Time open | 13.9 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed (5m/4h bull EMA, 15m/1h mixed), 1h ADX 18.5 slope -3.3 fading, ER10 0.48 / ER30 0.06 (path nets nowhere), choppiness 49.5, Hurst 0.45, HMM calm 0.9998 — a low-ADX transitional/choppy tape with a mild recovery bid. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest long lean — price +1.6% 24h, net +1.14% 12h, top-traders heavily long (pos ratio 2.38), OI accelerating up with strong z-scores, though 1h taker ratio 0.85 leans seller. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is positioning/flow — top_trader_pos_ratio 2.38 (heavily long and rising on both fast/slow reads), OI accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +3.69, oi_15m_z +3.83), 4h EMA stack bull; this is the same low-ADX-with-recovery-bid setup that has produced repeated SOL wins. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 1h taker ratio 0.85 (net sellers) plus total mcap -3.5% 24h and BTC dominance rising — a broad-crypto risk-off would drag SOL through the 5d low support. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: mark 102.99; stop below the recent swing / 5d-low buffer at 100.55 (~2.36% risk, ~0.75x rv_24h), take_profit_1 stretch at 105.90 (~2.83% up, ~1.2x stop distance, R:R ~1.2), a reachable level given avg 24h traversal 2.33% and prior recovery pushes. 6. EXPECTATION: choppy tape, moderate edge — p_tp1 44, p_sl 38, p_expire 18.
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