SOLUSD long — 8 Sep 2026 (expired)
This long on SOLUSD entered at 103.8179 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 103.112 with a price move of -0.68%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-08 15:48 |
| Entry | 103.8179 |
| Stop-loss | 101.75 |
| Take-profit 1 | 105.1872 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 106.1 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.10 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 103.112 |
| Realized P&L | -0.68% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed (alignment 0/4; 5m mixed, 15m bear EMA, 1h mixed, 4h bull EMA), 1h ADX 22.97 slope +1.02 (marginal trend), ER10 0.23 / ER30 0.07 (path nets nowhere), choppiness 53.9, Hurst 0.47, HMM calm 0.9999 — a low-vol transitional/choppy tape with a mild recovery drift. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest long lean — net +0.91% 4h / +0.55% 24h positive momentum, top-traders heavily long (pos ratio 2.47), OI accelerating up (oi_5m_z +2.38, oi_15m_z +2.43) supporting the bid; taker ratio 0.95 slightly sell-tilted is the counter. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow/OI — OI accelerating up with a +0.91% fresh 4h push and top-traders positioned long, on a 4h bull-aligned EMA stack; the fresh money is leaning long into a recovery. 4. PRE-MORTEM: sell-tilted taker ratio (0.95) plus total mcap -3.8% 24h means a broad crypto risk-off could drag SOL back below the 5d low band and invalidate the long. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 103.82; stop below recent structure at 101.75 (invalidation of the recovery, ~2.0% = ~0.53x 24h RV, reasonable); stretch target 106.10 (~2.2% up, structural toward the 5d high band at -3.05%), R:R ~1.1. 6. EXPECTATION: choppy low-conviction tape favors expiry/either resolution — p_tp1 42, p_sl 34, p_expire 24.
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