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SOLUSD long — 17 Sep 2026 (hit target)
This long on SOLUSD entered at 99.8321 and hit its target at 101.5228 after 10.8 hours, closing at +1.69%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-17 03:38 |
| Entry | 99.8321 |
| Stop-loss | 97.55 |
| Take-profit 1 | 101.5228 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 102.65 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.23 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 101.5228 |
| Realized P&L | +1.69% |
| Time open | 10.8 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: alignment 0/4 (5m bull, 15m mixed, 1h bear, 4h mixed), mtf mixed/transitional; 1h ADX 19.3 slope -0.25 (fading), ER10 0.54 (moderately clean recent up) / ER30 0.29, choppiness 51.4 (mid), Hurst 0.41 (mean-reverting), HMM calm 0.9998 — low-grade transitional tape with a fresh upside push. 2. LEAN CHECK: LONG lean — net +1.2% 4h / +2.8% 12h / +2.7% 24h fresh upside, OI accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +2.18, oi_15m_z +1.98, agg_oi +2.2%) with rising price = new longs, top-trader pos ratio 2.28 (heavy long) and 4h delta +0.05 firming. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow/OI — accelerating_up OI on a +1.2% 4h push means real money adding into the move, with top-traders positioned 2.3x long and funding still benign (z 0.07, agg z 0.22) so no crowding tax; SOL's 30d WR 67.5% favors continuation follow-through here. 4. PRE-MORTEM: taker 1h 0.95 is sell-tilted and price is only -4% from 5d/20d highs — a rejection at that supply band with OI unwinding invalidates. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop below the recent consolidation shelf / 20d z-support at 97.55 (dist ~2.3%, ~0.5x rv_24h — reasonable), stretch target toward the 5d-high supply zone at 102.65 (dist ~2.8%, RR ~1.24, within clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: fresh momentum + OI but mean-reverting Hurst and overhead supply cap conviction.
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