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SOLUSD long — 23 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on SOLUSD entered at 116.66 and stopped out at 114.72 after 47 minutes, closing at -1.66%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-23 13:23 |
| Entry | 116.66 |
| Stop-loss | 114.72 |
| Take-profit 1 | 118.052 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 118.98 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.20 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 114.72 |
| Realized P&L | -1.66% |
| Time open | 47 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 4h/1h EMA bull_aligned but 5m bear / 15m mixed (alignment 0/4), 1h ADX 21 flat (slope +0.03), ER30 0.03 (path nets nowhere), choppiness 52, Hurst 0.66, HMM calm 0.999 — HTF uptrend intact but near-term momentum has decayed into consolidation/chop. 2. LEAN CHECK: two forces oppose — HTF bull structure + top-trader pos ratio 2.30 (heavy longs) favor long; but net -0.6% 4h / -1.4% 12h / -1.1% 24h, OI accelerating_down (oi_5m_z -2.24, oi_15m_z -2.60), price rolling off the 5d/20d/90d high (-2.4%) — near-term is de-risking. On balance the standing 4h uptrend + top-trader long conviction give a modest LONG lean, but this is a thin, contradicted read. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is HTF trend — 4h bull_aligned, ADX 40.9, RSI 60, price only 2.4% off the 90d high and holding well above 5d low (+8.3%); dips in this structure have paid on this asset (30d wr 67.6%). 4. PRE-MORTEM: OI accelerating_down while price fades means longs are being unwound, not defended — a break of the 12h down-leg (below ~114.8) invalidates the dip-buy and confirms distribution. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 116.66; stop_loss 114.72 just under the recent swing / round-support shelf (1.66% ~0.4x rv_24h, contained); take_profit_1 118.98 (1.99% up, RR ~1.2), a reclaim of the mid-range shelf back toward the 5d high — reachable within 24h given avg 24h traversal 3.8%. 6. EXPECTATION: contradicted lean in chop — modest edge, meaningful expire risk.
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