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SOLUSD long — 29 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on SOLUSD entered at 120.16 and stopped out at 117.55 after 5.9 hours, closing at -2.17%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-29 11:53 |
| Entry | 120.16 |
| Stop-loss | 117.55 |
| Take-profit 1 | 121.984 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 123.2 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.16 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 117.55 |
| Realized P&L | -2.17% |
| Time open | 5.9 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 2/4 (5m & 4h bull_aligned, 15m & 1h mixed), 1h ADX 17.7 slope -3.6 (weak trend fading), ER10 0.56 but ER30 0.05 (recent bar clean, longer horizon nets nowhere), choppiness 50.5 (neutral), Hurst 0.52, HMM calm 1.0 — transitional/chop with a modest HTF bull tilt. 2. LEAN CHECK: mild LONG lean — OI accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +1.95, oi_15m_z +1.74, recent-half +2.54%), net +0.51% 4h / +1.06% 12h / +1.20% 24h, top-trader position ratio 2.23 (heavily long), Fear&Greed 73 Greed, price +5.5% off 5d low; the sell-heavy last taker print (0.688) is a single bucket against a mixed 24h tape. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: OI building into rising price with top-traders positioned 2.23x long and 4h EMA stack bull_aligned — trend-aligned continuation lean, supported by SOL's strong 67.6% asset track record. 4. PRE-MORTEM: latest taker ratio 0.688 (sellers dominant) plus top_trader_pos_ratio 4h delta -0.095 (smart money trimming) — if 118 support fails the OI unwinds and this flips bearish. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 120.16; stop below the near structural pivot and 5d-low path at 117.55 (~2.17% risk, within rv/atr band); stretch TP at 123.20 (~2.53% ≈ 1.16x risk, R:R 1.17), just under the 5d high (-3.46% ≈ 124.4) which is a realistic 24h traversal (avg 24h move 2.6%). 6. EXPECTATION: mild edge in chop — p_tp1 43, p_sl 38, p_expire 19.
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