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SOLUSD long — 30 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on SOLUSD entered at 121.77 and stopped out at 119.35 after 1.5 hours, closing at -1.99%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-30 12:50 |
| Entry | 121.77 |
| Stop-loss | 119.35 |
| Take-profit 1 | 123.558 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 124.75 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.23 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 119.35 |
| Realized P&L | -1.99% |
| Time open | 1.5 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 2/4 (5m/15m/4h bull_aligned, 1h mixed), 1h ADX 12.3 slope +1.7 (no trend, faintly firming), ER10 0.30/ER30 0.15 (noisy path), choppiness 48.4 (neutral), Hurst 0.40 (mean-reverting), HMM calm 1.0 — chop with a fresh near-term bull impulse. 2. LEAN CHECK: LONG lean — net +3.03% 4h, +2.44% 12h fresh upside momentum, taker last-bar 0.726 is a cooldown but hourly history is broadly balanced-to-buy; OI accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +2.80) with top-traders heavily long (pos ratio 2.31). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow/OI — OI accelerating_up on fresh 4h push with top-trader position ratio 2.31 and account ratio 1.88 (smart money long), trend-aligned with 5m/15m/4h bull stacks. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 5m/15m RSI 79/76 overbought + 1h Hurst 0.40 mean-reverting + last-bar taker 0.726 sell-heavy = this is an exhaustion candle that fades back under 120. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 121.77; stop 119.35 just below the 4h/prior consolidation shelf and beyond the ~2% invalidation (~1.99% risk, within rv_24h span); stretch TP 124.75 at the 5d-high region (~2.45% / R:R ~1.23, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: overbought short-TF + mean-reverting Hurst temper the fresh momentum, so a modest edge with real expire risk in chop.
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