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SOLUSD long — 4 Oct 2026 (expired)
This long on SOLUSD entered at 121.35 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 120.75 with a price move of -0.49%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-04 09:50 |
| Entry | 121.35 |
| Stop-loss | 119.55 |
| Take-profit 1 | 122.73 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 123.65 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.28 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 120.75 |
| Realized P&L | -0.49% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 4/4 full_bullish (5m/15m/1h/4h all bull_aligned), 1h ADX 35.9 slope +5.98 (genuine trend strengthening), ER10 0.71 clean / ER30 0.36, choppiness 45.4 (edging toward trend), Hurst 0.34 (mean-reverting path but trend is firming), HMM calm 1.0, F&G 65 Greed — a cleaner bull_trend read than the recent chop regimes. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear LONG lean — full MTF alignment, OI accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +2.81, agg OI +0.98%/24h), top-trader pos ratio 2.28 heavily long, fresh net +0.44%/4h, +1.69%/24h. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend + flow confluence — 4/4 bull alignment with rising ADX (strongest cluster), reinforced by accelerating OI into the move and heavy top-trader long positioning; price only -1.78% off 5d high with room to run. 4. PRE-MORTEM: taker_buy_sell 0.84 (sellers slightly dominant last 1h) plus funding z +1.34 / top-trader pos 2.28 flag a crowded long that can flush; a reclaim-failure back below ~119.8 invalidates. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 121.35; stop_loss 119.55 (below the near-term structural shelf and 24h momentum base, ~1.5% / ~1.0x the rv_24h traversal); take_profit_1 123.65 (~1.9% up, ~1.28x stop distance, toward the 5d-high retest at ~123.5 — reachable within 24h given avg 24h traversal 1.47% plus trend). 6. EXPECTATION: trend-aligned with crowded-long caveat.
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